Last week we struggled on way to our first losing week in six tries this season. Overall we stand at 40-18 on a star basis for +$2,020 for $100 players. This week we explore betting the money line in the NFL and we've also got five picks...

My Week 3 NFL Computer Predictions & Analysis are available for viewing. These predictions are based on a Super Computer playing each game tens of thousands of times. Use them as an input to your handicapping - not a replacement. The computer can't take into account emotion or situations.

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Green Bay getting 3.5 at home vs. the Bucs. Hard to believe this would be the case before the season started. But, after two games, the Pack are 0-2 SU and ATS while Tampa is 2-0. Cadillac Williams is a media darling while Brett Favre has looked horrible. And, Tampa Bay is off a very dominating win to boot. All signs point towards the Bucs in this one. But, let's look beneath the surface. In their two games, Green Bay has turned the ball over five times and forced none. It's no wonder they are 0-2. Many a bettor was burned last week backing Green Bay and they have pushed them up to 3.5 point home dogs. It's a perfect time for a contrarian play on the Pack. This animal has it's back against the wall and they have Brett Favre fighting for them. Tampa Bay hasn't won in Green Bay since 1989. Green Bay finds a way here. One star on the Pack plus the points.

All's well in Philadelphia as T.O. and McNabb are laughing like good ole buddies again. The Eagles crushed San Francisco last week 42-3. But who cares? After a loss to Atlanta, we knew they'd take out their frustrations on the defenseless 49ers. Owens and McNabb both had something to prove last week. But, how easily everyone forgets their opening day loss to Atlanta. They are again in the basement in terms of stopping the run (ranked 27th in rushing defense). Oakland hasn't won yet but they have played the defending Super Bowl champs and Kansas City who might own that title at this time next year. Their record doesn't surprise me. This line is just too high. Philly's strength is pass defense but Moss will find success here. Take the generous points. One star on Oakland.

Sensing a theme here? San Francisco loses by 39 points last week. Time to fade them here, right? Just the opposite. They are getting nearly a touchdown at home against a team that took a HUGE emotional hit last week. The Cowboys are coming off a short week of practice and they gave away a game they never should have in front of a national TV audience by giving up two touchdowns in the final 3:46. Teams typically don't recover well from losses like that. Bill Parcells as much as predicted it this week when he said, "Losses like this can carry over if you let them." I don't expect a focused Dallas team here, especially against San Francisco. Again, people seem to forget that San Francisco beat St. Louis just two weeks ago. They had an off game against a focused and pissed-off Eagles team. They aren't as bad as they showed last week and should keep this one close. One star on the Niners.

Arizona is 0-2 but they rank in the top 10 in the leauge in both offense and defense and they outgained St. Louis 409-324 last week. Poor clock management as well as losing the turnover battle resulted in the loss. They scored just 9 points in four trips to the red-zone and they could very well be 1-1 right now. Under Mike Holmgren, the Seahawks are 4-12 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and 1-9 ATS at home off a home win. The Cards can't afford to go 0-3 and Denny Green is too good a coach to go down without a fight. Kurt Warner hasn't blown people away but he hasn't done too poorly (outside of last week's debacle at the end of the game). He's completing 64% of his passes and he's averaging nearly 300 yards per game. If Zona can get their running game untracked, they can win this game. One star on the Cards to keep it closer than a touchdown.

Are the Giants for real? The bookmakers don't seem to think so. I, on the other hand, think they have shown a lot thus far. Eli Manning is looking like Peyton and Jeremey Schockey has returned to rookie form. Throw in a little Tiki Barber and you have a formidible offense that can score on anyone. They've put up 69 points in their first two games. Things aren't so peachy in San Diego as the normally quiet LaDanian Tomlinson is complaining about lack of touches. That's what an 0-2 start will do to you. This crowd is going to let Manning hear it after he snubbed the Chargers last season. But, don't think that will have any meaningful impact on the game. Folks, we have a 2-0 team getting 5.5 points vs. an 0-2 team. That just aint right. And, trust me - the Giants are taking note of the lack of respect. The G-Men are 9-1 ATS off two consecutive home wins and the Chargers are off a hard-fought emotional division game. San Diego is 9-23 off a road loss to a divisional rival. It's hard to come back strong after those kind of games. One star on the Giants to cover this one.