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NFL Foobtall Premium Edition
2005 Week 1 Monday Night

After a shaky start to the week on Thursday night, we had a 5-1 Sunday and ended the week 5-2-1. Overall we're now 25-10-1 on the season. View prior 2005 NFL Picks.

My Week 2 NFL Computer Predictions & Analysis are available for viewing. These predictions are based on a Super Computer playing each game tens of thousands of times. The computer can't take into account emotion or situational trends. Use them as an input to your handicapping - not a replacement.


Good luck!

The Wunderdog

 
Wunderdog Ramblings

In case you missed it...

  2005 Team Wins Predictions
  2005 NFL Preview (includes team-by-team analyses)
  Six Reasons to Bet Underdogs in the NFL

Premium Picks
*ATLANTA +1 over Philadelphia (9:00 Eastern) (computer simulation)

This is an important game for the Philadelphia Eagles. If they win in convincing fashion, it will go a long way towards them putting the TO problems behind them and having a good season. If they put forth a lackluster showing, the pot is going to get stirred even more than it already has been. Even beyond the Terrell Owens saga, this team has issues. They lost Corey Simon, Derrick Burgess and Hugh Douglas on defense - a defense that couldn't stop the run with them. On offense, Brian Westbrook, who McNabb called the most important player on the team, has cut off negotiations with the Eagles. This also a big game for Atlanta who badly wants to beat Philadelphia after losing to them last year in the playoffs. This place will be rocking on Monday night. Atlanta comes in with the best running game in the league from last year. The combination of Warrick Dunn, TJ Duckett and Mike Vick should pile up the yards against a Philly defense that allowed 130 yards per game on the ground last season and did little to fix that. If Vick can put together a solid passing game, the Falcons should win this one. This should be a very close game but the edge goes to the more motivated team playing under the Monday Night lights. Oh yeah, the Falcons were 8-1 at home last season. We'll back the Monday Night home dog for one star.

Resources
Pass It On

How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

Pass It On

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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