6-1 last week and 12-1 on a star basis helped us finish at 71% in the preseason (20-8). On a star basis we were 31-10 and overall $100 per star players won $2,000 during the preseason. View prior 2005 NFL Picks.

While I'm ecstatic about that performance, I must warn that we can't keep that up. Please keep that in mind and practice smart money management.

My Week 1 NFL Computer Predictions & Analysis are available for viewing. These predictions are based on a Super Computer playing each game tens of thousands of times. Use them as an input to your handicapping - not a replacement. The computer can't take into account emotion or situations.

We'll have a full slate of NFL picks for Sunday which will come out on Friday. For now, here are the picks for Thursday night's opener in New England.

Good luck!

I know I'm gonna take some grief for this pick. But, that's the point. The public is definitely on the World beating New England Patriots. It's hard to pick against a team that has done so well in recent history. But, my analysis is telling me Oakland keeps this under a touchdown. Any time you can get over a TD in week one, it's worth a look. Big underdogs come through at a very high rate in the NFL in the first week. What's changed here for these two teams? Well, New England has lost Tedi Bruschi, Ted Johnson and Roman Phifer - the heart of their linebacking corp, as well as all-world corner Ty Law. And, oh yeah - both their offensive and defensive coordinators have also jumped ship. They still have Brady and Belichick which is why we'll keep this a one star play. On the Raider side of the ball (yes I say "side" instead of "sides" because they have no defense), the offensive-minded Norv Turner has stockpiled quite an offense. He brought in Randy Moss and LaMont Jordan, both high-impact players to compliment the emerging Jerry Porter. The Raiders formula for success this season will be simple: give up a lot of points but score more. I expect a lot of scoring in a game that should end up closer than 7.5 points. The public has pushed this line a bit over where it should be and we'll, as usual, go the opposite way. No "tuck rule" here - Take the Raiders plus the points for one star and OVER the total for one star.

Sunday's picks will be published on Friday and Monday night's pick will be sent on Monday.