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NFL Football
Premium Edition - 2005 Preseason Week 2 Monday Night
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darrell,
So
far this week we're 6-3 on a star basis. We'll cap
off the week with a Monday night pick.
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Good
luck this weekend, darrell!

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*Dallas
+3 over SEATTLE (8:00 Eastern Monday)
Time
for a little letdown for Seattle and a "must-win"
for Dallas. Did I say must-win in the preseason?
Yeah. Well, it's a bit tongue-in-cheek. Of course
it's not a must win. But, Dallas needs/wants this
one worse than Seattle. You could say after Seattle's
34-15 win last week over New Orleans, they are
getting a bit content. Holmgren said this week,
"This has been one of the best camps we have had
from
a teaching standpoint and a retention standpoint.
The young guys learned. They had a great effort
all the way around." Holmgren has also said he'll
"substitute freely" to get a feel for players in
positions that are "still up in the air." He said
he's "not talking about starters, necessarily,
but who makes the team." Dallas on the other hand
lost a game to Arizona in which they played less
than stellar. This doesn't sit well with Bill Parcells
who plays the preseason to win. He's a career 72%
winner in the preseason including 3-1 last year.
Teams that were supposed to win
and lost that are now facing a team that was supposed
to lose and won, tend to do very well against-the-spread.
Dallas wants this one more. One star on the Cowboys.
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How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management.
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