NBA Basketball
Premium Edition |
April 08, 2006 |
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darrell,
Well, after a nice 10-4 run over the past week, we go 0-3 last night. Sorry about that. Today there's really just one game I like but I like it a lot.
My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.
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Good luck , darrell!

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Game: Miami at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 stars on Washington +3
The public can't help themselves with the Heat. They are all over them in this one (80% of bets coming in on Miami). They are good, owning the second best record in the East. But, they've been losing recently to playoff-bound teams. Washington has lost 3 of 5 games but they are 3-2 ATS during that stretch and they've covered five of their last seven. They are also 21-11 ATS since the All Star break. Miami is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine as the public pushes the price up on them. They are off a big home loss against Detroit and they are only 12-24 ATS off home games this year. The Wiz can score against anyone and they will be up for this one and the crowd should be rocking here in this home playoff atmosphere game. They have double-revenge angle here and want to prove to themselves they can win against the East's elite teams.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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