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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NBA Basketball Premium Edition
March 29, 2006

darrell,

3-2 last night. Three more picks tonight.

My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.

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Good luck , darrell!

The Wunderdog

Premium Picks

Game: Memphis at NEW JERSEY (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 stars on OVER 176

When I take a look at this low total, I want to take the over immediately. Besides the gut instinct, there are other solid factors backing the over despite the fact that both teams are 2 of the best in the league in defense. These teams played twice this year and the last game at New Jersey was over 200 points. Keep in mind that these teams have been two of the hottest in the league despite Memphis's recent loss to the Sonics, they had won 8 in a row and the Nets have won 9 in a row. Their offenses are in sync and the over has hit the last 3 times these teams have played in New Jersey. We'll take the low total here and play the over as we have knowledge of trends and reasonings for the over.


Game: Boston at NEW YORK (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 stars on Boston -4

The Knicks are still trying to avoid being the team that owns the worst record ever since the 84 game season went into affect. Whereas the Knicks play to avoid being the pinnacle of humiliation, the Celtics are playing for a plaoff spot as they find themselves a couple games back of Pilly in the 8th and last playoff spot in the east. The Celtics have beaten the Knicks both times this year and they are a solid 7-2 ATS against the Knicks over the last 9 games and are a sound team to bet after a loss as they are 7-1 ATS. Thus, given the trends but more importantly, the fact that the Celtics need this game to keep in the playoff hunt as there are less than 15 games left to go in the season, let's take the Celts putting up the road chalk.


Game: Seattle at HOUSTON (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on UNDER 195.5

Very rarely do you see a total this high for ballgames in Houston. However, the Sonics are in town which would normally bode well for the over for the home team. Yet, the Sonics will more than likely play this game without Rashard Lewis who injured himself late in the Memphis game. Yes, Seattle won this game despite Lewis, but did you notice the total went under. Now, this total is set similar to that game with one of the worst offenses in the league in Houston - who is wihtout T-Mac and have lost their last 7 of 8. These teams played twice this year and both games went under and keep in mind the higher total was in Seattle at 202 - and that was with T-Mac's 30+ points. So, without McGray, without Lewis and the game being in Houston, the game clearly bodes well for the under and compounded with the fact that the under is 5-0 in Houston and 5-1 in these teams last 6 games against each other. Take the under here.


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Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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The Wunderdog

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