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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NBA Basketball Premium Edition
March 27, 2006

darrell,

Monster day yesterday for premium subscribers who went 2-0 in College Hoops on George Mason and Florida, 2-1 in the NBA and 2-0 in the NHL.

Tonight I have 3 NBA picks.

My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.

Please Tell A Friend about this newsletter and they'll thank you!

Good luck , darrell!

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks

Game: Indiana at MIAMI (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Miami -7

Sporting a 46-23 overall record and a 12-1 mark within the division, the Heat aim to knock off the Pacers (6-7 in the division). At home, Miami has been a very good offensive team, scoring 103.5 ppg on 49.7% shooting. Expect a letdown from Indiana against a Miami squad that's 27-7 SU at home this season as the Pacers play Miami without rest on Monday. Indiana is just 2-4 SU & ATS when playing on the second of back-to-back nights after a SU win by double digits. They defeated Philadelphia 92-79 at home yesterday. Miami beat Charlotte by 21 last time out and its starters are well-rested. As well, Indiana has scored just over 85 ppg in its last five with a subpar field goal percentage. This is a tailor-made for a rout for the Heat.


Game: Phoenix at NEW JERSEY (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on Phoenix -3.5

The Nets can win a season-high ninth straight game with a win over the Phoenix Suns here. Gonna happen? NOT. Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 away games and Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games after being 7.5 to 10 point favorites. The Suns come in as slight road favorites and look to improve on their 47-21 mark. Mike D`Antoni`s team was busy last game winning against the Nuggets 107-96 as 9.5-point favorites. While New Jersey won at Detroit last game as a 7-point underdog against the Pistons. That game a lot out of them. This game is likely to come down to the Sun's run and gun execution on offense. And, they are well rested - something we cannot say for NJ. Phoenix ranks 1st in the league in scoring and look to sustain their 108.4 points per game average against the Nets's good but not great defense.


Game: New Orleans at UTAH (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 stars on OVER 184

Both of the teams are on the playoff bubble looking in. After rising to the sixth seed in the West last month, New Orleans has come crashing down to earth losing eleven of their last twelve games. Utah has lost six of eight to put their playoff hopes in serious jeopardy as well. Two of the last three matchups between these clubs have gone OVER the total. Four of New Orleans' last five games have gone OVER while Utah has been around 50% OVER/UNDER. While New Orleans AWAY games have averaged just 182 ppg since mid february, Utah HOME games have averaged 199 per game. Against losing teams, New Orleans finds a way to score. They are 20-9 OVER against such competition over the past two seasons. Utahs has found some offense of late, too, scoring 97.6 per game on 50% shooting over their last five games. Their defense has collapsed a bit during that stretch too. This total is set too low and we'll take the OVER.


Resources

NBA Basketball Resources

  Up-to-Date NBA ATS Records
  NBA Game-of-the-Day Preview
  Live NBA Basketball Lines
  Latest NBA News

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
Pass It On

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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