NBA Basketball
Premium Edition |
March 17, 2006 |
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darrell,
1-1 last night. Three picks tonight.
My NBA Power Rankings are here.
Good luck , darrell!

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****ORLANDO -3 over Boston (7:05 Eastern)
The Magic have been playing well recently, going 3-1 SU/ATS their last four games. Tonight, they catch the Celtics off a mind blowing come-from-behind loss to the Heat, playing their third game in the past four nights and seventh game in the past 11. While the Celtics have gone 2-4 ATS as road underdogs of three points or less, the Magic are a solid 6-2 as home favorites in that range. The Celtics are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in the last four times they played a road game after having played the previous day. And, Orlando is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points. I like the Magic here for four stars.
**Dallas +1 over WASHINGTON (7:05 Eastern)
Washington comes into this one as a slight home favorite here. Dallas is 8-4-0 ATS their last twelve visits to Washington and they come into this one off a 95-81 win against the Rockets, a game where they were 4-point favorites. Dallas has stepped up their D in their last five games, allowing 86.4 ppg in that time. While Washington has played well on offense, their defense has been rotten, allowing 107.8 ppg on 46.9% shooting in their last five. Against the Mavs, that's gonna hurt. Dallas is the pick for two stars.
**LA CLIPPERS -11 over Philadelphia (10:35 Eastern)
We've been banking by fading the Sixers of late and this is another tough spot for a team that doesn't play any defense. This is a long road trip for the 76ers, and they play their 3rd game in 4 nights here (at Seattle Thursday, a 102-98 loss). The 76ers defense has been awful. They've allowed 100+ points in there lats 13 of 16 games! Allen Iverson will miss at least 3 more games with a sprained and bruised right foot. And they take on a talented Clippers team that is rested and was just embarrassed on national TV at Phoenix 126-95. And, the Clips have same season revenge on their minds against the Sixers as Philly beat them 109-103 back in Janurary. Take the Clip Joint minus the points here for two stars.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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