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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NBA Basketball Premium Edition
March 11, 2006

darrell,

2-1 last night and 35-27 since the start of February. Three picks tonight.

My NBA Power Rankings are here.

Good luck , darrell!

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks

***ORLANDO -1.5 over Golden State (7:05 Eastern)

Orlando comes in off a huge 102-73 victory over Cleveland on Friday. Golden State also comes off a big win, beating Miami in South Florida. The two meet tonight with Orlando installed as a small favorite. The Magic are 10-2 ATS this season as a 6 point or smaller home favorite. And, home favorites off a big win by 10+ points with an average defense (92-98 PPG) facing a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) are 65% ATS (89-48) over the last 5 seasons. Orlando owns the Warriors of late, too. Over the past three seasons, the Magic have won 6 of 8 against the spread and 7 of 8 straight up in this matchup! Golden State's defense is bad and getting worse while Orlando is respectable on both sides of the ball. Lay the very small number on the home team here for three stars.

**LA Clippers -2 over MILWAUKEE (8:35 Eastern)

Milwaukee has been cold since the All-Star break posting a 3-7 SU & ATS record during their last ten games. Milwaukee looks to follow up last game's 92-86 win against Boston as 4-point underdogs with another good performance today at home versus the Clippers. Milwaukee plays the second of back-to-back nights here and they are just 1-3 ATS in the second game on back-to-back  nights. The Clippers of late are dominating this series, posting a 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS record during the last five meetings. Two stars on the Clip Joint.

***Dallas -5.5 over UTAH (9:05 Eastern)

I love the fact that Utah has owned Dallas at home 4-1 ATS the last 5 times the Mavs have traveled here. It helps us get a bit of value here. The bottom line is that the Mavs are a vastly better team than the Jazz. Better in scoring, rebounding, shooting percentage, depth, and turnovers, not to mention the talent level of the starting 5 for Dallas. Utah is coming into this game is 1-5-1 ATS their last 7 at home. They are also just 12-18 ATS here on the season. Dallas has done it with scoring, as always, but an emphasis on defense this year has really helped their cause and a 20-8 SU road record. In there last game Dallas won by 14 points and they are 4-2 ATS the last 6 in this series. Lets take Dirk and company tonight with a relatively small number to lay on a team this good. Dallas for three stars.

Resources

NBA Basketball Resources

  Up-to-Date NBA ATS Records
  NBA Game-of-the-Day Preview
  Live NBA Basketball Lines
  Latest NBA News

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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