darrell,

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3-1-1 yesterday for our 10th straight winning day in college baskets and 68% over the last 38 picks. Three picks today.

Good luck , darrell!

***Bowling Green +13.5 over Toledo (7:00 Eastern)

These teams have faced each other twice this year already and Bowling Green has covered both times even though the line has yet to be double digits. Tonight Bowling Green goes into Toledo getting 13.5 points which is more than they are going to need. In fact, Bowling green has covered 3 of the 4 times they were 13.5 point underdogs this season. BG is able to hit the outside shot at around 38% this year and that has kept their games close at time. They are scoring over 65ppg on the year which is slightly less than the 68.7ppg that Toledo has been scoring. Neither team does well on the boards as they are both under 30 rebounds per game and the edge goes to Bowling Green when talking about FT percentage; 72% compared to just under 68%. This game should favor Toledo at home when the clock reached final, but taking 13.5 points in a close game is the smart play here. Three stars on Bowling Green.

***Western Kentucky -7 over LA-Lafayette (9:00 Eastern)

These two teams played earlier this year at Western Kentucky and the line was 10.5 which was covered by W. Kentucky as they won by 13. There is one injury to note in this match up that wasn't there in January when these two teams played before, but it isn't for Western Kentucky as you may think. La-Lafayette's top guard Mitchell is listed as Questionable with a hamstring problem. If anything, one would expect the line to have gone higher than the 10.5 points in their last match up. Sure, it's nuetral territory but with the prior result and the injury to one of Lafayette's top players, laying just a touchdown here is a gift. Lafayette is just 8-18 ATS this season including 2-8 ATS when playing with just one day's rest as they are here tonight. W. Kentucky on the other hand is 7-1 ATS off one day's rest. Too much offense here for Lafeyette to handle. Three stars on W Kentucky.

**Loyola Marymount +12 over GONZAGA (9:00 Eastern)

We've banked all season going against the Zags at home. They are 16-0 straight-up at home but just 3-13 ATS in Spokane! Yes, 3-13. The public just jumps on this team at home and boosts the line. It has already happened here in a game that opened at 11.5 and has moved a half point already. The media can't stop themselves from pumping up Adam Morrison and the public eats it up. The Bulldogs are just 4-12 ATS this eason as double-digit favorite and 1-7 ATS coming off two straight home wins. Gonzaga is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and 7-15 in their last 22. In the two prior matchups this season, Gonzaga won by 9 points on the road (where the Bulldogs are profitable to back) but only won by 12 at home, failing to cover the 17.5 point number (imagine that). Loyola is 10-5 ATS in conference games this season and I like them to cover the inflated number. Two stars on Loyola Marymount.