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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
NCAA Basketball Premium Edition
January 22, 2006

darrell,

1-2 last yesterday. Two picks today.


Play online at Bodog & win a chance to tackle a lingerie model!

Good luck , darrell!

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks

**CREIGHTON -17 over Evansville (3:00 Eastern)

Evansville is 0-8 on the road. Over their last five games, they've shot 35.5% from the field and scored just 56 points per game while giving up 70. In contrast, over their last five, Creighton is shooting 50% from the field, scoring 71 and holding opponents to 60 per game. Their defense has held opponents to under 40% shooting at home this season so Evansvile is going to have a VERY hard time of it offensively today. Big underdogs getting 10+ points (<40% SU) off a home cover / SU loss are 44-80 (35%) ATS since 1997. Two stars on Creighton.

**Wichita State +5.5 over SW MISSOURI (3:00 Eastern)

These two teams look pretty evenly matched. They both have 4 losses. Missouri St has one loss at home while Wichita St has one loss away. In their last 5, both teams are scoring around 70 points per game. Wichita St faced Illinois on neutral ground on 11/25/05 and lost 54-55. This Wichita St team is one that can play with some of the best, home or away and their 15-4 record shows this. In their last 5 games, Wichita St is giving up just under 64ppg while Missouri St is giving up 67ppg. These two teams last faced each other at Wichita St, who were favored by 2 and Missouri St was blown-out 57-81. SW Missouri plays solid defense but Wichita State is 11-3 ATS versus good defensive teams over the last 2 seasons. I dont see any reason why Missouri St is giving 5.5 in this one simply because they are home. Take Wichita St plus the points.
Resources

College Basketball Resources

  Up-to-Date NCAA Basketball ATS Records
  College Basketball Game-of-the-Day Preview
  Live NCAA Basketball Lines

Pass It On
How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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The Wunderdog

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