NCAA Basketball
Premium Edition |
January 11, 2006 |
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darrell,
Three picks tonight.
Good luck , darrell!

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*RUTGERS +9 over Villanova (7:00 Eastern)
Villanova stub their toe in their last game against West Virginia, losing their first game as an 11 point favorite. It will be interesting to see how they respond here. Rutgers has struggled a bit of late, making them a big home dog here. But, HC Gary Waters doesn't let his team slip for that long. Rutgers is 12-3 ATS following two ATS losses over the past ten years. Also, with Waters at the helm, Rutgers is 8-1 ATS at home vs. top caliber teams (teams that outscore their opponents by 12+ points per game). One star on Rutgers to keep it close.
**Indiana +13 over MICHIGAN STATE (7:00 Eastern)
The Hoosiers are scoring 81 per game and holding road opponents to 61.5. They are 5-1 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road this season. Sure, Michigan State is 8-0 at home but just 2-4 against the number. Michigan State got absolutely hammered at Wisconsin 63-82 on Sunday and they are just 3-12 ATS off a road loss by 10+ over the past ten years. This spread is just too large. Two stars on Indiana.
***SETON HALL -2 over Marquette (7:30 Eastern)
Marquette did impress in their win over UNCONN last week. We were on that for several reasons, none of which apply here. That was as much about going against UCONN on the road than backing Marquette. Seton Hall came back from 20 down to beat St. John's earlier this week.Seton Hall is 9-1 at home, allowing just 55.7 points per game there. Marquette is allowing 79 points per game on the road. Three stars on Seton Hall at home here.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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