NCAA Basketball
Premium Edition |
January 2, 2006 |
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darrell,
1-1 yesterday. Two picks tonight.
Good luck , darrell!
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**DENVER -3 over Wyoming (9:00 Eastern)
Stats-wise, Wyoming should probably be favored. But, while the Cowboys are solid at home, they are EXTREMELY weak on the road. Thus, Denver is posted as the favorite. Wyoming is 0-2 SU and ATS this year away from home and 3-21 in their last twenty four. Also, road teams off a home ATS loss where the team won straight up as a favorite with <2 starters returning from last season are 40-17 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Two stars on Denver.
**Cornell +27.5 over WASHINGTON (10:00 Eastern)
The Huskies are coming off a double-OT loss against Arizona. After that big game, they'll be flat here against lowly Cornell. But, Cornell lost by only 5 to Syracuse on the road earlier this season so they have the potential to stay close here. Cornell is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. winning teams since 1997 and losing underdogs of 20+ after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games are 52-21 (71%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Two stars on Cornell.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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