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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 20, 2005

darrell,

1-0 last night and now 45-20 (69%) for +2,243 units in September. Two picks tonight.

View past 2005 MLB picks.

Good luck today...

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks
*TORONTO -145 over Seattle (7:05 Eastern)

Seattle got one on the road last night and it won't happen again tonight. The Blue Jays blew a 4-3 ninth inning lead to enable the rare Seattle road win. Tonight Seattle goes with rookie Jeff Harris who's posted a 6.60 ERA in his last three starts. Countering for Toronto is Josh Towers who has put up a much better 2.45 ERA over his last three. Toronto also has the bullpen advantage and the offensive advantage (4.8 per game at home vs. 4.4 for Seattle on the road). The Mariners are just 7-25 as a road dog of +125 to +175 this season and 10-34 on the road vs. pitchers with an ERA of 4.00 or better over the past two seasons. Favorites of -150 or more off 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one home run, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings are 41-9 (82%) since 1997. Lightning can strike for bad road teams as it did for Seattle last night. But, not twice in a row. One star on the Blue Jays.

**OAKLAND -170 over Minnesota (10:05 Eastern)

Oakland has a golden opportunity to make up ground during this homestand and they know it. Two rookies take the mound here. Joe Blanton did an amazing job against the Twins earlier this season when he won a 2-1 game, going 7 innings and yielding just 2 hits and 1 run. Overall he's got a 3.57 ERA (3.37 at home). Francisco Liriano haas pitched well in his three games but he's only seen 7 innings of total action. Given that Oakland blasts left handers to the tune of 5.6 runs per game (and they are 27-16 vs. lefties this season), Liriano could be in for a long night and quick exit tonight. Minnesota doesn't have any offense right now as they have scored on 3.4 per game over their last seven. Two stars on the A's.

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How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

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