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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 7, 2005

darrell,

4-1 on a star basis last night. Three picks today.

View past 2005 MLB picks.

Good luck today...

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks
*CINCINNATI +103 over Milwaukee (12:35 Eastern)

Eric Milton has struggled recently but he's alwasy done well against the Brewers. He's 3-0 with an ERA of 2.48 vs. the Brew Crew. The Brewers also typically fail to take advantage of bad pitching. They are just 10-21 vs. starting pitchers whose ERA is 5.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Chris Capuano is hot but he's just 0-2 against the Reds with a 5.40 ERA. Cincinnati's offense has certainly cooled but we believe they get it done here today at home today. One star on the Reds.

*OAKLAND -184 over Seattle (3:35 Eastern)

Time for Oakland to bust out of this slump. Today they get an awful road opponent and a lefty start. The A's score 5.8 per game against lefties like Moyer. Seattle's scoring 2.9 runs per game over their last seven. And, Oakland starts ace Dan Haren who has a 3.66 home ERA this season that's dropped to 2.66 over his last three starts. Teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season, coming off 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less are 48-20 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. Home favorites of -150 or more with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season, after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 100-26 (79%) over the last 5 seasons. And, home favorites with a winning record revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs vs. a losing team are 39-9 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Take the A's for one star.

*San Francisco -115 over LA DODGERS (10:05 Eastern)

Two teams going in opposite directions here. Even with out Barry, the Giants are making a strong playoff run here, having jumped from 4th to 2nd after winning 8 of thier last 10 games. The Dogers have dropped 5 of their last 7. Jason Schmidt has been on fire lately posting a 1.74 ERA in his last three starts. The ice-cold Dogers bats will struggle to score tonight against him. and the Giants' bullpen. Since the All-Star break, San Francisco is beating the teams they should, going 13-4 vs. bad teams that are under .460. One star on Schmidt and the G-Men.

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How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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