We know Boston can score at home. Tonight they face John Lackey who is 0-4 with a 6.72 ERA in his seven careers starts against the Red Sox. Countering for Boston is Tim Wakefield who has struggled against Anaheim to the tune of a 4.90 ERA. He's been shelled recently, posting a 7.36 ERA in his last three starts. Boston's recipe for success during their current 21 out of 24 home game win streak is to simply outscore the competition while not worrying too much about runs given up. Games at Fenway this season have averaged 11.3 runs. Wakefield is 11-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. One star on the OVER here.

Philly has yet another chance to piss off their home town fans this season. This is a huge series with playoff implications, and we give the nod to the Stros pitching staff. The Stros are hotter right now, having won five of seven, and boast the better bullpen. Oswalt has a 2.95 ERA this season. Houston is 20-8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. All in all, Houston is a better baseball team, and it will show. One star on the Astros.

Cincy enters this game cold going only 1-6 in their past seven, but Harang has been their best starter and we are not overly confident with Helling, who frankly should not be pitching in the major leagues anymore. Harang sports a 3.03 home ERA this season that's been at 2.14 over his last three starts. Milwaukee is only 14-34 after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Cousins is the umpire here and that is good news for the home team. Home teams are 17-8 in games he has umpired this season. Favorites coming off a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 44-13 (77%) over the last 5 seasons. The Reds offense bounces back here. Two stars on the Reds at home.

*Colorado +145 over SAN DIEGO (10:05 Eastern)