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Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 4, 2005

darrell,

3-0 yesterday. Three picks today.

View past 2005 MLB picks.

Good luck today...

The Wunderdog

 
Premium Picks
**ATLANTA -157 over Cincinnati (1:05 Eastern)

Cincinnati dropped their fifth in a row yesterday while Atlanta has now won six of their last eight. The Braves are now 7-2 vs. the Reds this season. This afternoon, the hot Horacio Ramirez gets the call for Atlanta (2.86 ERA over his last three and 2.92 at home overall this season). He'll enjoy the run support from a team that's averaging 5.3 runs per game at home and 5.6 per game overall in their last seven. As stated yesterday, Cincinnati's offense has gone in the tank as they are now averaging just 3.0 runs per game over their last seven. Two stars on the Bravos who should probably be closer to -200 favorites in our humble opinion.

*San Diego -137 over MILWAUKEE (2:05 Eastern)

Jacob Peavy goes for the Pads this afternoon. He comes in with a 3.01 ERA that's been even better lately (2.08 over his last three starts). Backing him up is an excellent bullpen with a 3.61 road ERA this year. As a favorite over the past two seasons, Peavy is 33-9. The Padres have re-discovered their bats, having scored 5.3 per game over their last seven games. They've scored 5 or more runs in five of their last six games. Milwaukee runs will be at a premium today and we'll back the Pads for one star.

***COLORADO -120 over LA Dodgers (3:05 Eastern)

The Rockies have found some serious momentum over the past couple of weeks. Winners of seven of ten, they have schellacked the Dodgers over the past two games by a combined score of 22-4. This afternoon they get to tee off on Edwin Jackson who has been bad in his two starts this year. Zach Day gets the call for Colorado and he's got a 2.19 home ERA this season and a 2.81 overall ERA over the past three games. Colorado hits very well at home and now that their pitching has returned to respectability, they are a force. All season long they have teed off on weak bullpens like LA's as they are 26-7 at home vs. bullpens with a WHIP of 1.450 to 1.550 over the past two seasons. Teams off a game in which they allowed 1 run or less facing an opponent off 2 straight losses by 8 runs or more. are 31-10 (76%) since 1997. We have momentum here and a very different Colorado Rockies club that the public has yet to catch on to. As a result, great line value. Three stars on the Rocks.

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How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

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The Wunderdog

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