As a -310 favorite last night, St. Louis spotted the Giants a 4-0 lead through 8.5 innings but came back to win by a run. Back breaker for the Giants who will fall easier this afternoon. Matt Morris takes the mound for the Cards. He's been hammered of late but owns a 2.94 ERA against the Giants. Over their past seven games, St. Louis is playing excellent defense, holding opponents to 3.7 runs per game. They are also batting .289 and getting on base 36% of the time. The Cardinals bullpen is well rested and comes in with a very solid 3.14 ERA. The Giants are going to struggle to score today as they have all season. They are being outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the year and St. Louis is 60-24 against teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more over the past two seasons. Too much firepower for the Giants to overcome. Two stars on the Cardinals.

The D-Rays have won 6 of 7 including two from the Yankees and a squeaker win over these Rangers last night. Texas on the other hand has dropped 10 of their last 11 games. We'll ride these streaks tonight as the cold Joaquin Benoit faces the hot Scott Kazmir. Kazmir has a 3.69 home ERA this season which is down to 2.45 over his last three starts. Benoit has been shelled his last three, giving up 12 earned runs in just 14.7 innings pitched. Texas bats have dissapeared as they've scored 3.3 runs per game on .239 hitting over their past seven games. This long road trip doesn't bode well for the Rangers as they are just 7-17 when playing in game 6 or more of a road trip this season.Road underdogs +150 or less with excellent power (averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game) off a game in which they allowed 2 runs or less are just 11-42 (21%) over the past five seasons. One star on the D-Rays.

We scored big on Cincy last night and we like them again tonight (although not as much). They again have lots of advantages here. Aaron Harang has a 3.18 home ERA this season. They face Javier Vazquez who has gotten belted to the tune of an 11.37 ERA over his last three starts. Not good for Vazquez as Cincinnati scores 5.6 per game at home and even more against right handed starters. They'are hot-hot-hot, scoring 5.9 per game over their last seven. Arizona's bullpen is terrible so expect a lot of scoring again by the Reds this evening. Since the All-Star break, Cincy is now 13-3 vs. marginal losing teams (Win Pct. 46% to 49%). Just not a good matchup for 'Zona. One star on the Reds.

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