Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Seattle will have Logan Gilbert starting today and he is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP this season. Gilbert pitched eight shutout innings on two hits in a 5-0 win over Houston on Saturday and he has allowed only nine runs with 50 strikeouts in 50 innings in 2024. Also, he has three career starts against Minnesota and his team is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP in those outings. Seattle's bullpen is #2 in the American League with a 1.07 WHIP. Pablo Lopez 3-2 with a 4.30 ERA for the Twins, who have split four games since their 12-game win streak and they have allowed 23 runs in four games. Gilbert's teams are 27-13 his past 40 road starts. Take the Mariners as a Max Play. 

It's the sixth straight road game for Seattle. The Mariners have lost all three of George Kirby's road starts. Seattle's offense is 24th in runs and on-base percentage. Minnesota is on a 14-3 run with an offense that is 12th in on-base percentage and 10th in slugging, while the defense is fourth in fielding percentage, and a bullpen that is 11th in ERA (3.54). Starter Chris Paddack has a 1.02 ERA at home, where he has a 21-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 17+ innings. Play Minnesota. 

Minnesota got right back on the winning track after having its 12-game win streak snapped on Sunday. The Twins defeated the Mariners 3-1 on Monday as Carlos Correa hit an RBI double in the fifth and doubled and scored in the seventh. Bailey Ober has made three career starts against Seattle and the Twins have won all three and the bullpen has 12 saves this season with a 1.15 WHIP. Ober has gotten good run support and the Twins have won his past three starts by a combined score of 19-11. Emerson Hancock is 3-3 with a 4.75 ERA for Seattle and he gave up five runs in 3 2/3 innings his last start against Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mariners have lost three of four and they are averaging only 2.6 runs their past eight games. Take the Twins as a Max Play.

The AL Central has been weak and tight all season, but the Minnesota Twins have opened a 3-game lead over Cleveland. Minnesota has played its best baseball of the season, going 14-7 in their last 21 games. I expect them to rebound after losing yesterday to Seattle, and take the series. The Twins have been a .600 team with Ryan on the mound this season and have outscored their opponent by 1.5 runs per contest when he has taken the mound in his 20 starts on the season. When he has started at home the Twins have a .700 winning percentage and expand the winning margin to +1.8 runs per contest. I like the short odds on the Twins here. Make the play on Minnesota.