Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 21, 2005
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2-0 last night and 48-20 (71%) on a star basis in September as $100 players are up $2,543 during the month. 2-star and higher picks are 10-0 over the past two weeks. Tonight - September's first 5-star play (5-star plays are 7-1 this season).

View past 2005 MLB picks.

Good luck today...

The Wunderdog

Premium Picks
*****NY YANKEES -250 over Baltimore (7:05 Eastern)

Cajone-check here. You need to have chutzpah to play this one given the line. But, I LOVE the Yankees here folks. Winnners of 8 of 9, they have closed the gap on the Red Sox. This is "Yankee time" my friends and they need to keep winning to have a shot at winning the AL East. The Orioles have lost five of six and tonight they have to face Randy Johnson and a Yankees team that has beaten them 5 out of 7 thus far at Yankee Stadium this season. Johnson is 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA his last five starts. Rodrigo Lopez starts for Baltimore and after a nice start, he's witherd, losing three of his last four starts. In his last start against the Yankees, he got pummeled to the tune of 10 runs in just three innings of action as New York went on to win the game 12-3. New York loves September and they have been on a tear, putting up 6.7 runs per game over their last seven games. They are red hot and huge favorites of -200 or more having won 18 or more of their last 25 games are 87-14 (86%) in September games since 1997. Five stars onthe Yanks.

*San Diego -174 over COLORADO (8:35 Eastern)

Twenty runs. Ouch. San Diego is going to be fighting mad tonight. And, with Peavy taking the mound against a rookie, this one should be no contest. Jacob Peavy is 12-7 on the season with a 2.98 ERA. Backing him up is an excellent bullpen. The Pads simply had an off night last night and can't afford another loss here. They should bounce back nicely. San Diego is 11-1 revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 or more runs over the last 2 seasons. Also, home underdogs at +125 or more that's batting .315 or better over their last 5 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher (ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts) are just 9-44 (17%) since 1997. One star on the Padres here.

**LA Dodgers +120 over ARIZONA (9:05 Eastern)

The Dodger look to snap their losing streak tonight in the desert. LA is 17-10 vs. Arizona over the past three seasons in games played in Arizona including a winning 4-3 this year. They'll look to Brad Penny who owns the D-Backs. Earlier this year he pitched a shutout against Arizona yielding just three hits in 8 innings. Lifetime he is a perfect 4-0 against Arizona posting a 1.27 ERA and 0.825 WHIP. And we get him as a dog? Great! Arizona's offense is weak (3 runs per game over last seven) and their bullpen is atrocious. Arizona is 18-24 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season and 4-16 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. They are also 11-20 this year at home vs. losing teams. Two stars on the underdog that should be favored.

Pass It On

How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

Pass It On

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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