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*HOUSTON
-147 over Milwaukee (7:05 Eastern)
Wes
Obermuller starts for the Brewers and he's
been hammered lately with a 12.10 ERA over
his last three starts. Countering for Houston
is Brandon Backe, 5-2 with a 3.92 ERA at home
(13-2 over past two seasons in Houston). Backe
is also 7-0 at home vs. division opponents
over the past two years. Backing him up is
one of the best bullpens in the league
(3.19
ERA
at
home)
-
a big advantage
over Milwaukee's which is terrible on the road.
The Brew Crew is struggling defensively and
they are 0-8 this season after allowing 4+
runs in 4 straight games. Houston is just the
opposite - playing great defense and they are
13-3 this season after allowing 3 runs or less
for 3 straight games. Favorites
of -125 to -175 after allowing 2 runs or less
3 straight games against opponent after a combined
score
of 4 runs or less are 51-16 (76%) over the
last 5 seasons. One star on the Astros.
**BOSTON
-131 over Oakland (7:05 Eastern)
Boston
at home only laying -131 is a gift and we'll
take it. The Sox are 28-8 at home against
AL West opponents over the past two seasons.
They are also 19-10 vs. Oakland over the
past
three
years
and
5-3
this season.
In games played at Fenway, Boston is 12-4
over Oakland and 4-1 this season. Dan Haren
does come in looking impressive but Boston's
offense can overcome him. They are scoring
5.7 per game vs. righties and 6.1 per game
at home. Oakland is averaging just 3.6 per
game over their last seven and that just
aint gonna cut it. Two stars on the Sawx.
*Detroit
+191 over LA ANAHEIM (10:05 Eastern)
Detroit
gave us a +210 victory two nights ago so
why not again here? Ervin Santana has pitched
well at home but Roman Colon as also pitched
well, putting up a 3.34 ERA in his starts
this year. Detroit's offense can keep them
in this one as they are scoring 5.7 per game
over their last seven games. Anaheim is barely
over .500 as a big favorite of -150 or more
this season. The flat out letdown when they
are expected to win big. And, they are just
12-15 at home vs. losing teams in the second
half of this season. Very nice value again
to night on Detroit and we'll back them for
one star tonight.
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