Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
MLB Baseball Premium Edition
September 12, 2005
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September run is now 16-8 and 26-9 on a star-basis. Four picks tonight.

View past 2005 MLB picks.

Good luck today...

The Wunderdog

Premium Picks
*DETROIT -102 over Minnesota (7:05 Eastern)

Ladies and gents, Minnesota is hurting. They are giving up runs in buckets as they allowed Cleveland to score 23 in their series win over the Twins. Kyle Lohse gets the start for Minnesota and he's been shelled to the tune of a 7.07 ERA his last three starts. Countering for Detroit is Roman Colon who has a 3.62 ERA in his starts and 2.95 ERA at home. Lohse is 1-8 vs. AL teams with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. He's also 0--7 vs. losing teams over that same span. We'll back the Tigers at home for one star here.

**PHILADELPHIA +127 over Atlanta (7:05 Eastern)

Atlanta's hot right now and they get a rookie in Eude Brito. But don't count this young gun out. In his 3 games, he's got a very goot 2.79 ERA. At home, Philadelphia belts out 5.1 runs per game and their bats have been even hotter of late. A few things line up to make Philly attractive here. Atlanta's coming off a big 11-1 win over Florida. But, the Braves are just 11-24 on the road after a win this season and 7-17 in road games after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 13-1 at home with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games and 15-3 in home games after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. We like Philly in this underdog spot for two stars.

*CLEVELAND -145 over Oakland (7:05 Eastern)

CC Sabathia is as hot as the Cleveland Indians. Over his last three starts he's put up a 1.61 ERA. The Indians are holding opponents to just 2.1 runs per game over their last seven games. Teams off a game with 17 or more hits and now starting a hot pitcher with a WHIP <1.000 over his last 5 starts are 43-16 (73%) since 1997. One star on the Indians.

*San Diego -104 over SAN FRANCISCO (10:15 Eastern)

Barry Bonds is expected to return in this one. But, with Adam Eaton on the mound, the Padres should be too much for the Giants. Eaton is 10-3 this season and San Diego is 8-3 against San Francisco as well. San Francisco is managing just 3.9 runs per game (3.1 over their last seven). San Diego has also struggled offensively but they have the better pitching which includes a bullpen with a 3.63 road ERA. One star on San Diego here.

Pass It On

How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.

Pass It On

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Good Luck.

The Wunderdog

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