MLB Baseball
Premium Edition |
October 9,
2005 |
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Got the one pick last night. Two today.
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WUNDERDOG
2005 RESULTS |
SPORT |
STAR
RECORD |
$100/BET |
|
49-25 |
66% |
+$2,150 |
|
576-439 |
57% |
+$2,499 |
|
41-32 |
56% |
+$650 |
|
4-0 |
100% |
+$400 |
|
322-288 |
53% |
+$490 |
TOTAL |
|
|
+$6,339 |
Good
luck today...

|
|
*HOUSTON +113 over Atlanta (1:00 Eastern)
Atlanta always makes the playoffs but just can't seem to get very fary. Today I believe they will once again fall short of their ultimate goal. Houston looks to close things out with Brandon Backe who is 10-3 at home this season. Over his last three starts, he's posted a 3.00 ERA. His counterpart, Tim Hudson, lost game one and has a 5.06 ERA over his last three starts. Houston also has a big bullpen advantage (3.05 home ERA vs. Atlanta's 4.67 on the road). Houston is getting 6 runs per game in the playoffs and that, combined with their pitching, makes them very formiddable right now. The Stros are 16-2 at home vs. teams outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the Astros for one star to close out the series and advance.
**NY Yankees/ANAHEIM Under 10 Runs (8:15 Eastern)
Shawn Chacon has been amazing for the Yankees since coming over from the Rockies. The guy has posted a ridiculous 0.40 ERA over his last three starts giving up 1 run in 22.7 innings. Sure it's his first postseason appearance but he'll be on. He's 16-8 UNDER this season. Jarrod Washburn goes for the Angels and althoguh he's struggled recently, he has a 2.65 road ERA this season giving up just 32 runs in 105.3 innings. He's 22-8 UNDER vs. good teams (54%+) in the second half of this season. The Yankees bats have cooled of late and they are 17-4 UNDER at home following a game in which 17+ runs were scored over the past three seasons. The Angels are 22-6 UNDER vs. good teams (54%+) since the all-star break this year. Games at 8.5 to 10 with a road team off 2 or more consecutive wins, have gone UNDER 73% of the time (69-25) in October games since 1997. Also, games at 8.5 to 10 with a home team that has lost 3 of their last 4 games have gone UNDER 72% of the time (48-19) in October gaes since 1997. This one goes UNDER and we'll back it for two stars.
|
|
| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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