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Again a mismatch of monumental proportions, and once again, the Sox need to keep winning which will spell doom for the weak Royals. I know this is a monster line but there is good reason. The line isn't big enough. KC can't punch in runs and they are facing a solid pitcher in Wade Miller. Miller has allowed just 7 runs in his last three starts in 19 innings. Road underdogs of +150 or more with poor power (<0.9 HR's/game) and a propensity to leave runners on base have won just 7 out of 62 games when facing a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. On the other side KC starts Kyle Snyder with his 8.59 overall ERA that balloons to 16.20 when you look at his lone road start this season. With a bullpen that sports a 5.65 road ERA backin up Snyder, the Red Sox should score at will in this one. The Red Sox lineup is too much for anyone right now. They are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home on the season which they've notched up to 6.0 on the current home stand. Big home favorites of -200 or more with a win percentage of 54% to 62% off 3 or more consecutive winsare 94-18 (84%) when playing a team with a losing record over the past five seasons. Afraid of laying this kind of lumber? I understand. But consider this: Boston is 26-2 as a home favorite of -250 to -330 over the last 3 seasons! You read that right: 26 and 2. Five stars on the Sox.

What does Detroit need to break out of their five-game skid? Another run at one of the worst road teams in the league. Seattle is 22-45 as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons while Detroit is 12-5 after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. And, underdogs of less than +150 with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season facing an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season are 47-18 (72%) since 1997. Seattle's Gil Meche is just 11-21 when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Two stars on Detroit.

*Atlanta -128 over CINCINNATI (7:10 EST)

How much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick = 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks. Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily over the long-term. For more, see my write-up on Bankroll Management.