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NBA Basketball
Premium Edition - May 31, 2005
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!NAME_COMMA!
Well,
last night was no good as Phoenix played inspired - much
more than I thought they would. Dime players still up $11,100
on the season. View past 2004/2005
NBA Picks.
Good
luck tonight!COMMA_NAME!!
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**DETROIT
-5.5 over Miami (8:00 EST)
***Miami/DETROIT UNDER 179.5
The
Pistons defense faltered
in game-three
allowing a post season high 113 points to the Heat.
I believe the hullabaloo surrounding Coach Larry
Brown got to them. Will it get to them again tonight?
The public seems to think so, at least as far as
the TOTAL is concerned. With last game going over
the posted total by 8 points, the public is on the
OVER tonight. The line has moved from 178.5 to 179.5
The Pistons know this is a must-win for them as they
can't afford
to go
to
Miami
down
3-1
as the
Heat have only lost two of it's last twenty-seven
games in front of the home crowd. Detroit is 20-8
ATS the last three years in the post season. For the
Pistons to win, they have to return to their signature
clamp-down defense.
After last game's high-scoring debacle in which they
allowed the Heat to shoot 53%, I think they will
bounce back defensively. The Pistons
are
7-1
ATS
at home
after 2 or more consecutive overs this
season. Wade has owned them over the past two games
but I cannot see that happening a third straight
time as the Pistons pull out all stops and play with
incredible
intensity tonight. Games featuring a good defensive
team allowing <91 points/game (Detroit allows
89.1 and 86.6 at home) are 112-61 UNDER (65%) following
a combined score of 215 points or more since 1996.
As the public overreacts to last game, we'll go the
opposite way. I expect a great defensive performance
here from both
teams
with Detroit
coming
out on top.
Two
stars
on Detroit and three stars on the UNDER.
Check
up-to-the-minute
lines on these games:
NBA
Lines & Odds
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How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management.
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Good Luck.
The
Wunderdog
NBA
Basketball Picks from freeunderdog.com
877.DOG.WINS
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