|
NBA
Basketball - December 30, 2004
!NUMBER_OF_SUBSCRIBERS!
|
!NAME_COMMA!
Split
'em yesterday. Boston, getting 8 points, had an 11 point
lead in the fourth quarter. Yes, we were up by 19 points
from
a spread perspective. Well, somehow they managed to lose
the game by 10. Unbelievable!
View
my 2004
previous NBA picks.
Good
luck tonight!COMMA_NAME!!
|
The
Spurs are on a roll, having
won seven of their last eight
games. How can they get up
for this one against the
lowly Blazers who have dropped
two of their last three and
sit at .500? They won't.
In December, NBA road favorites
of 3.5 to 9.5 points off
2 or more consecutive
wins are just 12-40 (77%)
ATS over the last
5 seasons. In addition hot
road teams having won 15
or more
of their last 20 games, and
winning 75%+ of their
games
on the
season are only 23-55 ATS
(71%) over the last 5 seasons.
These ring true as the public
starts overreacting to a
teams great performance.
I like Portland (one star)
to keep this one closer than
7 at
home
tonight. (Bet
game @ BoDog |
See
Star-Ratings section below for recommendations on betting
amounts.
|
Betting
Recommendations and Unit Tracking
My star ratings equate to the following betting recommendations for
each pick. For tracking purposes on my site, my bankroll is assumed
to be an even $5000.
* (1
star) = 1% of bankroll (or $50)
**
(2 star) = 2% of bankroll (or $100)
***
(3 star) = 3% of bankroll (or $150)
****
(4 star) = 4% of bankroll (or $200)
*****
(5 star) = 5% of bankroll (or $250)
******
(6 star) = 6% of bankroll (or $300)
To
determine your bet amount, you should simply use the percentages
below, multiplied by your specific bankroll. It is my strong recommendation
that you never bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any given
game - ever! You should usually bet just a few percent.
There are no such thing as locks. See my write-up on Bankroll
Management.
|
To
stop receiving this or add yourself to other sports picks
newsletters, change your email preferences or view your account
and order history, visit the subscription
management page.
|
The
information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended
for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties
are implied. Use this information at your own risk.
Good Luck.
The
Wunderdog
NBA
Basketball Picks from freeunderdog.com
877.DOG.WINS |
 |
