Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
2004 College Football - Bowls Part 4 of 4
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And Then There Were Two
With all of the "other" Bowl Games out of the way, we're left with two matchups featuring the three great teams in college football - Auburn, Oklahoma and USC. Oh yeah, throw Virginia Tech in the mix, too - a team that is on quite a roll. Both games feature excellent matchups which should be very hard-fought. I've got picks in both with my strongest bowl pick of the year on the National Championship game.

College Bowl Picks are at 61% ATS. You can view my prior picks here.

Good luck this week!COMMA_NAME!!

The Wunderdog

This Week's Picks
**Virginia Tech +6 vs. Auburn (Check latest line)

Tough game to call. Auburn is very good on both sides of the football, but Virginia Tech's season, simply cannot be overlooked. Frank Beamer and his staff have done a remarkable job and bring to this game a very stingy defense. They've given up only 12.6 points per contest and only 265 yards per contest. Pretty amazing to get 6 points on a team with that kind of defense. Tech is getting better as the season goes on and is peaking right now. The Hokies have won their last eight in a row and have gone 6-1-1 ATS during that run. Over their last three games, they've held opponents to 8.7 points and 229 yards per game. Auburn, on the other hand, is just 1-2 ATS over their last three and have taken a dip in both offense and defense. Jason Campbell has been tremendous this season, and he has the duo studs at TB to turn to as well in Brown and Williams. The Auburn defense has also been stingy and left us with some memorable moments this season. Who can forget the hit Auburn's safety put on the Georgia WR in the pivotal SEC clash two months ago? Something must give here. These appear to be two pretty evenly matched ballclubs. This game could very well come down to mistakes and should be a low scoring affair. You have to wonder about Auburn's position after being snubbed for the Orange Bowl. They'll be angry and out to prove to the world that they should be playing on Tuesday night. But, they have not responded all that well in similar big games like the SEC title game against an inferior opponenet in Tennessee. I'll go with the team riding momentum... Tech and the points here for two stars. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

****Oklahoma +1 vs. USC (Check latest line)

These two teams are eerily similar from a statistical standpoint. But one stands out in my mind. Title games often come down to one thing - toughness. The wrong team is favored here folks. Seems like many people have figured that out as the line has moved from 3 to just 1 (wish we got it at +3). For those of you who have not yet seen Adrian Peterson run, enjoy it on Tuesday night. He is a throwback type player, who is huge and fast. SC has not seen anything like him this season and they'll struggle to contain him. USC is 5-16 ATS versus good rushing teams (averaging >=200 rushing yards/game) since 1992. They just arent' a physical team. Oklahomia is the smash mouth team here and smash mouth teams win championships. Look for Oklahoma to try to establish the run game early, which will open up the field for Jason White and his talented receiving corps. USC will counter with Reggie Bush, who is the Rocket Ismail of present day college football. Lendale White, SC's other RB, must be able to run for USC to have a chance in this game. But, OU is just too strong in every facet of the game for this SC team in my opinion. SC narrowly escaped defeat three times this season. All of those games occured against the most physical teams that they played. This SC team is younger than the team of one year ago. It will show and OU will be too strong in the end. The Sooners have crushed their last three opponents 107-6. Their winning ways continue here. Oklahoma plus the point for four stars. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

 
See Star-Ratings section below for recommendations on betting amounts.
Resources

College Football Resources

  Up-to-Date NCAA Football ATS Records
  College Football Game-of-the-Week Preview
  Live College Football Football Lines
  Latest College Football News

Pass It On

Betting Recommendations and Unit Tracking
My star ratings equate to the following betting recommendations for each pick. For tracking purposes on my site, my bankroll is assumed to be an even $5000.

  * (1 star) = 1% of bankroll (or $50)
  ** (2 star) = 2% of bankroll (or $100)
  *** (3 star) = 3% of bankroll (or $150)
  **** (4 star) = 4% of bankroll (or $200)
  ***** (5 star) = 5% of bankroll (or $250)
  ****** (6 star) = 6% of bankroll (or $300)

To determine your bet amount, you should simply use the percentages below, multiplied by your specific bankroll. It is my strong recommendation that you never bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any given game - ever! You should usually bet just a few percent. There are no such thing as locks. See my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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The information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties are implied. Use this information at your own risk.

Good Luck.

 

The Wunderdog

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