|
2004 College
Football - Bowls Part 4 of 4
!NUMBER_OF_SUBSCRIBERS!
|
!NAME_COMMA!
And
Then There Were Two
With all of the "other" Bowl Games out of
the way, we're left with two matchups featuring the three great
teams in college football - Auburn,
Oklahoma and USC. Oh yeah, throw Virginia Tech in the mix, too
- a team that is on quite a roll. Both games feature excellent
matchups which should be very hard-fought. I've got picks in
both with
my strongest bowl pick of the year on the National Championship
game.
College
Bowl Picks are at 61% ATS. You can view my
prior
picks here. Good
luck this week!COMMA_NAME!!

|
Tough
game to call. Auburn is very good on both
sides of the football, but Virginia Tech's season,
simply cannot be overlooked. Frank Beamer and his
staff have done a remarkable job and
bring to this game
a very stingy defense. They've given up only 12.6
points per contest and only 265 yards per
contest. Pretty amazing to get 6 points on a
team with that kind of defense. Tech is getting
better
as
the
season
goes
on
and is peaking right now. The Hokies have won
their last eight in a row and have gone 6-1-1
ATS during that run. Over their last three games,
they've held opponents to 8.7 points and 229
yards per
game.
Auburn, on the other hand, is just 1-2 ATS over
their last three and have taken a dip in both
offense and defense. Jason Campbell has been
tremendous this season, and he has the duo studs
at TB
to turn to as well in Brown and Williams. The Auburn
defense has also been stingy and left us with some
memorable moments this season. Who can forget the
hit
Auburn's safety put on the Georgia WR in the pivotal
SEC clash two months ago? Something must give here.
These appear to be two pretty evenly matched ballclubs.
This game could very well come down to mistakes
and should be a
low scoring affair. You have to wonder about Auburn's
position after being snubbed for the Orange Bowl.
They'll be angry and out to prove to the world
that
they should be playing on Tuesday night. But, they
have not responded all that well in similar big
games like
the SEC title game against an inferior opponenet
in
Tennessee. I'll go
with the team riding momentum... Tech and the points
here for two stars. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
These
two teams are eerily similar from a statistical
standpoint. But one stands out in my mind. Title
games often come down to one thing - toughness.
The wrong team is favored here folks. Seems like
many people have figured that out as the line has
moved
from
3 to
just
1 (wish we got it at +3).
For
those
of you who have not yet seen Adrian Peterson run,
enjoy
it
on
Tuesday night. He is a throwback type player, who
is
huge and fast. SC has not seen anything like him
this
season and they'll struggle to contain him. USC is
5-16 ATS versus good rushing teams
(averaging >=200 rushing yards/game) since 1992.
They just arent' a physical team. Oklahomia is the
smash mouth team here and smash mouth teams win championships.
Look for Oklahoma to try to establish the run game
early,
which will
open
up
the field
for
Jason
White and his talented receiving corps. USC will
counter with Reggie Bush, who is the Rocket Ismail
of
present day college football. Lendale White, SC's
other RB, must be able to run for USC to have a chance
in this game. But, OU is just too strong in every
facet of
the game for this SC team in my opinion. SC narrowly
escaped defeat three times this season. All of those
games
occured
against the most physical teams that they played.
This SC team is younger than the team of one year
ago.
It will show and OU will be too strong in the end.
The Sooners have crushed their last three opponents 107-6. Their winning ways
continue here. Oklahoma plus the point for four stars. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
See
Star-Ratings section below for recommendations
on betting amounts.
|
Betting
Recommendations and Unit Tracking
My star ratings equate to the following betting recommendations for each
pick. For tracking purposes on my site, my bankroll is assumed to be an even
$5000.
* (1
star) = 1% of bankroll (or $50)
**
(2 star) = 2% of bankroll (or $100)
***
(3 star) = 3% of bankroll (or $150)
****
(4 star) = 4% of bankroll (or $200)
*****
(5 star) = 5% of bankroll (or $250)
******
(6 star) = 6% of bankroll (or $300)
To
determine your bet amount, you should simply use the percentages
below, multiplied by your specific bankroll. It is my strong recommendation
that you never bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any given
game - ever! You should usually bet just a few percent.
There are no such thing as locks. See my write-up on Bankroll
Management.
|
To
stop receiving this or add yourself to other sports picks
newsletters, change your email preferences or view your account
and order history, visit the subscription
management page.
|
The
information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended
for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties
are implied. Use this information at your own risk.
Good Luck.
The
Wunderdog
College
Football Picks from freeunderdog.com
877.DOG.WINS |
 |