**Bowling Green -4 (-110) vs. Memphis (Check latest line)
*Over 71.5 (-110)

This game will be a shootout pitting DeAngelo Williams running against Omar Jacobs and Bowling Green's aerial offense. I expect BG to come out on top. Memphis is 6-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins and 2-10 ATS off a double digit road win since 1992. The Tigers defense has been torched throughout the season against offenses much worse than Bowling Green's. Memphis has give up at least 26 points in four of its last five games including 49 and 56 to Cincy and Louisville is back to back weeks. Both teams will score early and often here, but the MAC is traditionally a very good bowl conference, and it will continue here. The Falcons will load the box and force Memphis to throw the ball. They will struggle. BG's defense has also caused a boat-load of turnovers in the MAC this season, while Memphis has difficulty in both causing turnovers and capitalizing on them as well. These two teams average a combined 967 yards and 80 points of offense per game. Bowling Green qualifies for this nice trend: Games featuring a team with an incredible offense (averaging 6.4 or more yards/play), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 54-22 OVER (71%) since 1992. Two stars on Bowling Green and one star on the Over. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

 

*Cincinnati -1.5 (-110) vs. Marshall (Check latest line)

This is perhaps the who cares bowl of them all. I'll reluctantly pick it but don't waste much of your time with this one. The only reason that either of these teams are in a bowl game at all is because the big conference teams were pretty weak this season (see Big 12 North). Cincy QB Gino Guidigli returns from his broken hand here and the Bearcats offense is thankful for that. They were a completely different unit against Louisville without him. Marshall has not won a big game since last season and really should not be in this game. Cincy is coming off a couple of bad games turnover-wise. Teams at +3 to -3 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 65-33 (66%) over the last 10 seasons. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

 

*Wyoming +12 (-110) vs. UCLA (Check latest line)

The Cowboys will be elated to play in this game. Joe Glenn continues to return the Cowboys back to the top of the MWC bringing them to a bowl game for the first time since 1993 season. "We hit the jackpot," Glenn said. "This is the culmination of a lot of hard work over the last two years." UCLA lost four of its final six games this season, and will not happy to be playing the Cowboys. Wyoming must stop Bruin TB Maurice Drew if they are to hang around in this contest. Wyoming is 14-5 ATS vesus good rushing teams (averaging >4.75 rushing yards/carry) since 1992. The Bruins will sleep walk in this game, and should get the win, but not the cover. One star on the Cowboys here. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

 

**Hawaii -3.5 (-110) vs. UAB (Check latest line)
*Over 75.5 (-110)

UAB is thrilled to be playing in a bowl game but has the unfortunate task of playing the Rainbows on their home field on Christmas Day. Hawaii has all the intangibles working for them here. Most teams view the trip to Honaluhu as a vacation. If the history of this game tells us anything, it is that the team with the most business like approach in Hawaii walks away from this game with a win. The problem for UAB is that nothing will be out of the ordinary for the Rainbows. The Rainbows are 7-1 at home this season and 6-2 ATS in those contests. That includes impressive wins against Michigan State and Northwestern. It will be business as usual as Hawaii will win this game and Tim Chang will blow up in his final game for the Island Warriors. This will be a shoot-out and UAB isn't very good in these types of games. They are 1-6 ATS vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Two stars on Hawaii. Games in which the total is greater than or equal to 63 invloving a team with a poor defense (allowing 400 or more total yards/game), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 24-5 OVER (83%) the last 10 seasons. Also, games involving teams with a poor defense (allowing 400 or more total yards/game), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game have gone OVER 32-13 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. Hawaii qualifies for both of these trends. One more star on the over here. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)