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2004 College
Football - Week 9
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!NAME_COMMA!
78%
ATS (7-2) on a Star-Basis in Week 8 CFB
Last
week was a great one for us as we went 7-2 on a star-basis
against the spread and 3-1 on the MoneyLine. Overall it
was a +520 unit weekend. It started off nicely with the
complimentary Louisville pick on Thursday winning easily.
They nearly upset Miami in South Beach as a nine-point
dog. The best pick, however was Wisconsin at +7 as we won
on them as a 3-star ATS pick and a money-line straight-up
winner. The other winners included Texas A&M in a romp
as a 7 point dog and Ole Miss. The two losers were Virginia
and Colorado. More on Colorado in a minute...
Five
CFB Games on Tap this Saturday
This
week I've got five games. I particularly like a few dogs
pitted against some supposedly "top" teams. My biggest
pick, however is a large favorite.
You
can view my 2004 College Football picks, past newsletters
and record here.
Good
luck this weekend!COMMA_NAME!!

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This
should be a barn-burner between the two worst
teams in the Big 12. Certainly do not watch this game
whatever you do. But I can't resist as the Cyclones
aren't seven and a half points better than many I-AA teams.
Not that I'm high on Baylor but ISU is just too terrible
not to fade with this chalk. The Cyclones
start bad and finish worse. They are 4-17 ATS
after the first month of the season and 1-12 ATS in
the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ISU is scoring a mighty 8 points per game over
their last three games while surrendering 30. Bet 110
to win 100 on the Bears. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
UT
is still getting a lot of respect for beating
Georgia, which makes sense in the public's eye. But sports
bettors should know better. Bama has one of the best
defenses in the country, and they will be able to run
the football
on
the VOLs defense. The Tide are holding opponents to under
4 yards per play which is outstanding. Opposing quarterbacks
are completing just 39.6% of their passes when facing
the Tide defense. Tennessee is just 2-11 ATS in home
games versus excellent defensive teams (those allowing <285
yards/game) since 1992.
This game
should be close throughout.
Roll
Tide
Roll.
Bet 110 to win 100 on Bama. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
Miami
is, simply put, the most athletic team in the
country. They have problems, however, putting a
complete game together. NC State has played very well
this season and should keep this game close. North Carolina
State leads the nation in total defense (203.8
yards per game) and passing defense (97.5 per game). Brock
Berlin is simply too average to lead his team to a blow-out
win against a talented Wolfpack club. The only way Miami
covers this game is
if their special teams and/or defense get two to three
scores. Don't think it will happen. NC State is 8-1 ATS
as a dog over the past three seasons. Bet 110 to win
100 on the Pack. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
Bettors
love to love the Sooners but, ladies and germs, this
is too many points. Look at the history of Bob Stoops
as a huge favorite. He
just
doesn't
like
running up the score. Oklahoma is just 1-11 ATS
as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992.
Undefeated teams off
2 straight wins against conference rivals fail to
cover the spread about two-thirds of the time in
their next outing. Throw in the Mangino factor,
and the Hawks cover this game. Bet 165 to win 150 on
KU plus the points. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
If
you watched Colorado vs. ISU last week you probably
reacted as I did. In the first quarter, after seeing
how terrible Iowa
State
is,
I was asking myself how Colorado could only be
laying 10 points at home. By
the end of the game, I was wondering how the Buffs
could possibly be laying 10 full points! Colorado
is
BAAAAD. When your kicker is your best player,
you know you are in trouble. Colorado is scoring
14.5 points per game on the road and 14 points
per game vs. conference opponents. Their defense
is
allowing 434 yards per game! A&M is allowing 267
per game at home and scoring over 37 points per
game over their last three. Look for the Aggies
to throw nine in the box and stuff
the run,
and
look for Reggie McNeal to have a career day against
the Buff defense. Road underdogs off
a win against a conference rival against opponent
off 2 consecutive road wins are a sickly 27-53
against the spread over the past ten years.
A&M will blow the doors off
the
Fluffs. Bet
220 on the Aggies to win 200 here. (Bet
game @ BoDog | Bet
game @ BetOnline)
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information in this newsletter is based on opinion is intended
for informational purposes only. No guaranteees or warranties
are implied. Use this information at your own risk.
Good Luck.
The
Wunderdog
www.freeunderdog.com
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