Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
2004 College Football - Week 9
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78% ATS (7-2) on a Star-Basis in Week 8 CFB
Last week was a great one for us as we went 7-2 on a star-basis against the spread and 3-1 on the MoneyLine. Overall it was a +520 unit weekend. It started off nicely with the complimentary Louisville pick on Thursday winning easily. They nearly upset Miami in South Beach as a nine-point dog. The best pick, however was Wisconsin at +7 as we won on them as a 3-star ATS pick and a money-line straight-up winner. The other winners included Texas A&M in a romp as a 7 point dog and Ole Miss. The two losers were Virginia and Colorado. More on Colorado in a minute...

Five CFB Games on Tap this Saturday
This week I've got five games. I particularly like a few dogs pitted against some supposedly "top" teams. My biggest pick, however is a large favorite.

You can view my 2004 College Football picks, past newsletters and record here.

Good luck this weekend!COMMA_NAME!!

The Wunderdog

This Week's Picks

*Baylor +7.5 (-110) at IOWA STATE (Check latest line)

This should be a barn-burner between the two worst teams in the Big 12. Certainly do not watch this game whatever you do. But I can't resist as the Cyclones aren't seven and a half points better than many I-AA teams. Not that I'm high on Baylor but ISU is just too terrible not to fade with this chalk. The Cyclones start bad and finish worse. They are 4-17 ATS after the first month of the season and 1-12 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. ISU is scoring a mighty 8 points per game over their last three games while surrendering 30. Bet 110 to win 100 on the Bears. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


*Alabama +7 (-110) at TENNESSEE
(Check latest line)

UT is still getting a lot of respect for beating Georgia, which makes sense in the public's eye. But sports bettors should know better. Bama has one of the best defenses in the country, and they will be able to run the football on the VOLs defense. The Tide are holding opponents to under 4 yards per play which is outstanding. Opposing quarterbacks are completing just 39.6% of their passes when facing the Tide defense. Tennessee is just 2-11 ATS in home games versus excellent defensive teams (those allowing <285 yards/game) since 1992. This game should be close throughout. Roll Tide Roll. Bet 110 to win 100 on Bama. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


*N.C. State +7.5 (-110) at MIAMI
(Check latest line)

Miami is, simply put, the most athletic team in the country. They have problems, however, putting a complete game together. NC State has played very well this season and should keep this game close. North Carolina State leads the nation in total defense (203.8 yards per game) and passing defense (97.5 per game). Brock Berlin is simply too average to lead his team to a blow-out win against a talented Wolfpack club. The only way Miami covers this game is if their special teams and/or defense get two to three scores. Don't think it will happen. NC State is 8-1 ATS as a dog over the past three seasons. Bet 110 to win 100 on the Pack. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


**Kansas +27.5 (-110) at OKLAHOMA
(Check latest line)

Bettors love to love the Sooners but, ladies and germs, this is too many points. Look at the history of Bob Stoops as a huge favorite. He just doesn't like running up the score. Oklahoma is just 1-11 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992. Undefeated teams off 2 straight wins against conference rivals fail to cover the spread about two-thirds of the time in their next outing. Throw in the Mangino factor, and the Hawks cover this game. Bet 165 to win 150 on KU plus the points. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

***TEXAS A&M -19.5 (-110) vs. Colorado (Check latest line)

If you watched Colorado vs. ISU last week you probably reacted as I did. In the first quarter, after seeing how terrible Iowa State is, I was asking myself how Colorado could only be laying 10 points at home. By the end of the game, I was wondering how the Buffs could possibly be laying 10 full points! Colorado is BAAAAD. When your kicker is your best player, you know you are in trouble. Colorado is scoring 14.5 points per game on the road and 14 points per game vs. conference opponents. Their defense is allowing 434 yards per game! A&M is allowing 267 per game at home and scoring over 37 points per game over their last three. Look for the Aggies to throw nine in the box and stuff the run, and look for Reggie McNeal to have a career day against the Buff defense. Road underdogs off a win against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins are a sickly 27-53 against the spread over the past ten years. A&M will blow the doors off the Fluffs. Bet 220 on the Aggies to win 200 here. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

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Good Luck.

 

The Wunderdog

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