Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
2004 College Football - Week 8
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Last week the big three-star pick, Texas A&M came through in easy fashion but the remainder of my picks fell short. Overall it was a 3-5 week on a star basis.

This week I've got seven games including tonight's Louisville/Miami matchup.

You can view my 2004 College Football picks, past newsletters and record here.

Good luck this weekend!COMMA_NAME!!

The Wunderdog

This Week's Picks

*Louisville +9 (-110) at MIAMI (Check latest line)

Too many points, sports betting fans. Louisville, ranked 18th in the country, may be the best team in the country that no one knows about. The Cardinals know this is their toughest test of the season and can be a statement game for them. It's a game that can give them a shot at a BCS bowl. Louisville is outscoring opponents by an obscene 173-28! They own the second best offense in the nation. Miami does not get consistent play from their QB, Brock Berlin, which will hurt their chances for the cover here against the nation's third best scoring defense. Did you know that Maimi is 1-5 ATS at home when facing a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons? And, they are just 3-10 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Bob Petrino will have his troops ready to roll in South Beach. Bet 110 to win 100 on Louisville +9. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


*COLORADO -10 (-110) vs. Iowa State
(Check latest line)

Colorado has been a mess the last two weeks, killing themselves in both games. They will rebound here at home against the worst team in the Big 12. James Cox gets the start at QB for the Buffaloes. The youngster looked great against the Cowboys last week, and should pick apart the Cyclones in this one. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are being outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are just 8-25 over the last 5 seasons. Also, road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after being outgained by 125 or more total yds 2 consecutive games fail to cover the spread about 70% o the time in their next game. The Cyclones are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Bet 110 to win 100 on this one with Colorado -10 points. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


*Virginia +3 (-110) at FLORIDA STATE
(Check latest line)
*Virginia straight-up (+130) at FLORIDA STATE

The Cavs are for real, my friends and FSU is not a good football team. Al Groh has his sixth-ranked team and prized recruits rocking right now, and they'll be fired up to show the country that they're for real. This line is skewed because Virginia is 1-11 all time against Florida State but this isn't your father's Virigina team. This team has won 8 straight dating back to last season. They are ranked 3rd in the nation in offense and 7th in defense. Road teams at +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of +1 /game or better on the season are an incredible 53-14 (79%) over the last 5 seasons. I like Virginia to win this one outright. Bet 110 to win 100 at +3 and 50 to win 65 on Virigina straight-up (money-line). (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


*OLE MISS +10 (-110) vs. Tennessee
(Check latest line)

Classic let down scenario for the Vols here. Tennessee beat Georgia as a double-digit dog last week and as a result, they'll have trouble getting up for this one. Ole Miss is not an easy place to play and Tennessee still has two frosh QB's. Ole Miss will be able to move the ball on UT's defense. Tennessee should win here but the spread looks a little high in reaction to last week's big Vol win. Ole Miss can put up the points. They're averaging nearly 30 points per game over their last four. Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are outrushing their opponents by 60 or more yards/game on the season, after a game in which they ran for 75 yards or less fail to cover the spread over 80% of the time in their next game. Also, road teams off an upset win over a conference rival when facing an opponent off a win against a conference rival are just 42-81 over the past ten seasons. Bet 110 to win 100 on this one with Miss +10. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


**Texas A&M +7 (-110) at OKLAHOMA STATE
(Check latest line)

OSU is the worst undefeated team in college football. Their running game will be slowed by the A&M defense. The OSU defense showed last week against Colorado that they are vulnerable. Reggie McNeal will exploit them all day long. A strong rushing offense beats a good rushing defense in the NCAA. Road teams with gaining 190 to 230 rushing yards per game when facing a team with a good rushing defense (averaging 100-140 RY/game come out on top to the tune of 60-27 ATS (69%). Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games off a double digit road win since 1992. Take the points here: Bet 165 to win 150 on A&M with the points. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)


***Wisconsin +7 (-110) at PURDUE
(Check latest line)
***Wisconsin straight-up (+240) at PURDUE

A great Big Ten battle here. Last year in this matchup, Wisconsin let a game in which they dominated slip away by coughing up the ball four times. In that game, the Badgers outgained the Boilermakers by almost 200 yards. Wisconsin's defense is tough and Purdue's offense isn't impressing. They put up only 20 points last week against a week Penn State squad. On top of that, Purdue has only played one quality opponent. They are giving up 175 yards per game on the ground. Wisconsin is very good on both sides of the ball and will give the Boiler offense all they can handle. They will control the clock as well with their power running attack. The Badgers know how to win on the road as they are 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992. Wisconsin should win this game outright on the road, and take control of the Big Ten. This line is a joke. Jump early. Bet 220 to win 200 on Wisconsin +7 and 100 to win 240 on Wisconsin straight-up. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)
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The Wunderdog

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