Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
2004 College Football - Week 7
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Last week was a somewhat frustrating one in College Football. While I went 3-2 on my selections, the two that lost were my 2-star picks, resulting in a losing week. I really felt Colorado should have covered but they didn't.

This weekend I've got five games again on Saturday including some real prime-time matchups.

You can view my 2004 College Football picks, past newsletters and record here.

Good luck this weekend!COMMA_NAME!!

The Wunderdog

This Week's Picks

*USC -7 (-110) vs. California (Check latest line)

SC will be looking for payback from last year and they'll get it on Saturday. California got SC in triple OT last year to break their 11-game winning streak. The Trojans will all be fired up for this one. They haven't lost since and have had two weeks to prepare. Road underdogs off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins are just 14-37 over the last 10 seasons. The Bears have a great rushing defense but USC is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses (those allowing <=2.75 rushing yards/carry) and 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus rushing defenses allowing <=120 rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. One unit on USC -7. (Bet game @ BoDog)


*MICHIGAN -3.5 (-110) vs. Minnesota
(Check latest line)

Statement game for the Wolverines. Minnesota does not have the defense to stay in this game. They have lost 15 straight to the Wolverines. Road teams off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite cover the spread only 32% of the time. Since 1992, the Gophers are just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. One unit on Michigan winning by at least four at The Big House on Saturday.(Bet game @ BoDog)


*COLORADO +6.5 (-110) vs. OSU
(Check latest line)

Colorado should have covered last week. Tough call. Six and a half is a lot of points for an unproven ball club on the road. Barnett is at his best as a dawg. And get this: Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are just 2-24 over the last 5 seasons. Yes, that's an 8% cover rate. One unit on Colorado to keep this one close. (Bet game @ BoDog)


**Texas +7 (-110) at OKLAHOMA
(Check latest line)

Good heavens - am I nuts? I really like the way this game lines up for the Horns this go around. Gone are their pro style quarterbacks and in comes Vincent Young. This is the game that will define Mack Brown. Lose and he'll most likely be fired at the end of the season. Win and Texas becomes the front runner from the Big 12 to get to the National Championship game. Adrian Peterson is the main guy for the Sooners on the ground this season and he has been tearing it up. Mr. Peterson, Mr. Johnson is eager to welcome you to major college football. Oklahoma is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game since 1992. OU is only 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. Two units on the Horns to keep this one real close. (Bet game @ BoDog)


***Texas A&M -8 (-110) at IOWA STATE
(Check latest line)

This is, simply put, two teams headed in opposite directions. A&M is gathering significant monentum for the rest of the season while the Cyclones are just plain bad. ISU is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. ISU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 season and ISU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Three units on the Aggies once again. (Bet game @ BoDog)
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