Michigan is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at Ohio State. But, let's look a bit deeper here. The seventh ranked Wolverines are undefeated in the Big Ten this year and will be looking to clinch the conference and a Rose Bowl bid and remain undefeated. This game is super important to them as a loss and a Wisconsin win would send Michigan to a lower bowl. The Buckeyes just aren't who they used to be and I don't think they'll stay with Michigan in this one. Road teams off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival are 64-30 ATS since 1992. I have a detailed matchup analysis of this game on my site, where you can see that Michigan has been all about ball control this year, eating up over 32 minutes per game this season. Meanwhile, Ohio State only controls the ball 27 minutes per game at home. We'll lean slightly towards the Wolverines for one star here, betting 55 to win 50 on Michigan minus the points. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

 

Who should be #1 in the BCS? Is it Auburn? No way, Jay! They are very good but look at their schedule. They played no one of substance in their non-conference schedule wheras USC certainly played some excellent teams and Oklahoma also had a tougher non-conference schedule. 'Bama has the defense needed to stay in this one. They have the SEC's top ranked defense, allowing just 230 yards per game. They also have a running game that rivals Auburn's. The Tide are gaining 215 yards per game on the ground. Alabama is 5-2 SU and ATS in its last 7 home games with Auburn. The Tigers are just 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games in which it was favored over Alabama. I like the line value here as the public is focusing on recent events including 'Bama's 1-2 record and Auburns big win over Georgia. Auburn may have a bit of a letdown after last weeks throttling of Georgia and Bama wants to play the spoiler. We have some nice trends favoring the Crimson Tide here. Get this: Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are just 3-25 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Also, undefeated road teams off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are only 8-33 ATS over the last 5 seasons. A lean towards the Elephant Tide in this rivalry. Bet 55 to win 50 on the Tide. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

Purdue hosts Indiana in a game in which the home team is 6-0 ATS over the past 6 seasons. Kyle Orton ends his career Saturday at home against the Hoosiers in a rivalry game. Orton has had a wonderful season and career for the Boilermakers and will go out with a bang this weekend. The Boliermaker offense will shred the Hoosiers and turn this one into a rout. Indiana is 1-5 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game and 3-11 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is also only 1-7 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. They are horrendous on the road this year, going 1-4 and surrendering an eye-popping 466 yards per game. Finally, Purdue is 7-1 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. They have been very good at home (averaging 33-12 score at home this season). We go with the Boilermakers minus the points, risking 220 to win 200 here. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)