Kansas State is on fire but N. Illinois is also 3-1 in their last four and 4-5 ATS in their last five. The Huskies can play defense. They're holding opponents to 64 points on the road while scoring 72. K-State's scoring less than that on their home court. The Wildcats' strength is defense but this is a good matchup for N. Illinois. They are is 9-1 ATS versus good defensive teams (those allowing <64 points/game) over the last 3 seasons. One star on Northern Illinois. (Bet game @ BoDog |

Fresno State dropped their first game of the season on Saturday, losing by a point to Oregon. Outside of that close game, they've been perfect, beating opponents by an average of 15 points per game. At home this season, they've held the opposition to under 60 points on average. I expect them to bounce back here and return to their winning ways. Pacific doesn't pressure well. Teams at -3 to +3 that are forcing <14 turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers are just 7-27 (79%) ATS since 1997. One star on Fresno State minus the points. (Bet game @ BoDog |

See Star-Ratings section below for recommendations on betting amounts.

Betting Recommendations and Unit Tracking
My star ratings equate to the following betting recommendations for each pick. For tracking purposes on my site, my bankroll is assumed to be an even $5000.

  * (1 star) = 1% of bankroll (or $50)
  ** (2 star) = 2% of bankroll (or $100)
  *** (3 star) = 3% of bankroll (or $150)
  **** (4 star) = 4% of bankroll (or $200)
  ***** (5 star) = 5% of bankroll (or $250)
  ****** (6 star) = 6% of bankroll (or $300)

To determine your bet amount, you should simply use the percentages below, multiplied by your specific bankroll. It is my strong recommendation that you never bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any given game - ever! You should usually bet just a few percent. There are no such thing as locks. See my write-up on Bankroll Management.