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Nfl Football Game Picks - November 10, 2008Well yesterday was one of the most frustrating days I have experienced as a pro handicapper that I can remember. While we hit our Game of the Year on Green Bay, we had a couple of tough beats that kept us from a winning day. Janikowski's field goal hitting the upright at the end of the game to keep us from a win certainly hurt. But that was nothing compared to the beat in the New Orleans-Atlanta game. With 1:30 to go in the game, we have a 10 point cushion on our UNDER play, with 40 points having been scored. How could we possibly lose that bet? Well, Brees throws a pick-6 to take the score up to 47. Down by 21 points, New Orleans starts another (meaningless) drive with 1:17 on the clock. A few plays and a hail-mary tipped-pass touchdown later, we lose that one too. It doesn't get any worse than that. I guess we were due as it'll be our first losing week in the last seven. We're still on a 24-15 (62%) run the past two months. Tonight I have one play. Good luck to you...  Today's NFL Football Picks: The 49ers have gone through a lot of changes recently. The first was the firing of Mike Nolan and the hiring of Mike Singletary who will be looking for his first win. Singletary has made some immediate changes, the most high-profile being the benching of turnover-prone J.T. O'Sullivan. It's a good move as his reads have been slow and his decisions have been poor, resulting in 11 INTs and 11 fumbles, as well as 34 sacks. Shaun Hill will get the start for the Niners. While he'll likely make fewer mistakes, can he really help this offense score much more? I don't think so. The question is, how much will Arizona score? The offense of the Cards was held to 23 points by this Niners team early in the season (their second lowest total on the season). That was despite the fact the Cardinals had a -5 turnover disadvantage, and nearly a 15 minute time of possession disadvantage. The defense was on the field for over 37 minutes, and even with the offense coughing it up five times, the Cards managed to get in the red-zone just three times, converting once. With a new QB at the helm, the San Francisco defense will know that the burden is on them tonight if the Niners are to have a chance. This San Francisco defense has the capability to keep the high-octane Arizona passing game in check. We saw it in their first meeting, and the Niners are a perfect 6-0 UNDER on the road the past three seasons vs. great passing teams (those completing 61%+ of their passes). While 70% of the public is on the OVER here, the line has moved from 49 down to 47.5. That tells us that sharp money is going UNDER here and we'll ride the same side. NFL Football Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NFL Football Picks Newsletters: NFL-Football-Picks-November-07-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-October-31-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-October-24-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-October-17-2008 NFL-Football-Picks-October-13-2008 |
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