San Francisco at Boston

San Francisco has the second-worst relief staff in all of baseball (5.51 ERA). They're 3,000 miles from home playing their third road game of a 10-game trek. They've lost the first two at Fenway, 4-0 and 6-2. Starter Kyle Harrison (4.09 ERA) has a 4.76 ERA on the road this season with the home teams hitting .299 off him. The San Francisco offense is 22nd in runs scored, 20th in on-base percentage, and 26th in steals. The Giants are 31-40 in interleague action and 62-75 versus righty starters. Boston is on an 8-3 run and plays its seventh straight at home. The offense is 11th in runs scored and eighth in on-base percentage. Josh Winckowski (3.50 ERA) will start and the Boston bullpen is eighth in ERA (3.36) and 10th in WHIP. The Red Sox are 31-17 after four or more straight home games, and with the wagering value on the home team to win the game or lose by one run, I'm going Max Play with Boston on the runline.