Milwaukee has lost three of five after dropping the opener of this road trip, 5-4. Starter Bryse Wilson has walked eight in his last two starts (10 innings) and doesn't go deep into games. There's nothing wrong with the Astros that a nice winning streak won't cure. There's nothing wrong with having an ace on the mound, either. Houston has won six in a row, plus eight of nine, and is 119-39 at home against a starter who lasts less than five innings per start. Justin Verlander (3.38 ERA) has a 2.57 ERA at home this season and the offense is 12th in runs scored and fifth in on-base percentage. Houston is 81-40 after a five-game stretch where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better. Play Houston.
Previous Matchups & Picks
May 19, 2024 2:10pm ET
@
Milwaukee Brewers
#925
Rea
Houston Astros
#926
Arrighetti
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-169)
Runline
-1.5 (+145)
+119
Moneyline
-137
OVER 9 (-104)
Total
UNDER 9 (-118)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 5.8 to 5.0 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Milwaukee Brewers
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
Houston Astros 
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
9
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All Picks last 1.8 years
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Losses
Units
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1,003
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All Picks this season last 2.6 months
Wins
Losses
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278
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147
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May 18, 2024 7:10pm ET
@
Milwaukee Brewers
#975
Wilson
Houston Astros
#976
Verlander
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-140)
Runline
-1.5 (+120)
+150
Moneyline
-174
OVER 8.5 (-106)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-115)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on Houston Astros to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Houston would win by a score of 4.8 to 3.7 with Houston winning on the moneyline, Milwaukee winning on the runline.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on May 18, 2024 at 11:30AM ET.
MLB
Milwaukee at Houston
May 18, 2024
7:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on Houston -158 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.63)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Milwaukee Brewers
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
4
Houston Astros
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
May 17, 2024 8:10pm ET
@
Milwaukee Brewers
#925
Peralta
Houston Astros
#926
Brown
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+151)
Runline
+1.5 (-178)
-109
Moneyline
-107
OVER 7.5 (-111)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 5.6 to 4.3 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline, Houston winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Milwaukee Brewers
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
Houston Astros
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
5
May 24, 2023 1:10pm ET
@
Houston Astros
#929
Bielak
Milwaukee Brewers
#930
Houser
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+148)
Runline
+1.5 (-172)
-105
Moneyline
-105
OVER 9 (-110)
Total
UNDER 9 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public money was on Houston Astros to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Houston would win by a score of 4.0 to 3.5 with Houston winning on the moneyline, Milwaukee winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on May 24, 2023 at 10:51AM ET.
MLB
Houston at Milwaukee
May 24, 2023
1:10 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Milwaukee +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.38)
Result:
WIN
WIN
Houston plays its third straight road contest after getting shut out by Milwaukee yesterday, 6-0. They're 5-5 in their last 10 road contests and batters are hitting .329 off starter Brandon Bielak, including over .400 on the road. Milwaukee is 14-9 at home and plays its third consecutive home game of a seven-game homestand. Adrian Houser (3.07 ERA) gets the start and has a 1.42 ERA versus the Astros. Milwaukee is 18-6 against AL squads that allow 4.4 or fewer runs per game, plus 45-24 against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better. The Brewers are 39-15 at home versus Houston and the wagering value is on the first-place home team to win the game or lose by one run. Play Milwaukee on the run line.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Houston Astros
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
May 23, 2023 7:40pm ET
@
Houston Astros
#977
France
Milwaukee Brewers
#978
Rea
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+120)
Runline
+1.5 (-141)
-127
Moneyline
+112
OVER 9.5 (+100)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (-120)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on Houston Astros to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.6 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
This pick was released to clients on May 23, 2023 at 10:32AM ET.
MLB
Houston at Milwaukee
May 23, 2023
7:40 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Houston -120 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.75)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
It took a while, but the Astros are finally playing the way many believed they would. Houston was a poor 17-18 through their first 35 games, but have been on an 11-1 tear in their last 12 games, winning eight-straight. Their dominating pitching has taken off as opponents have tallied just 29 total runs in their last 12 games, or 2.4 per contest. This has enabled them to win by three runs per game over the stretch. The Brewers' bats have gone stone cold as they are 1-4 in their last five games, getting shutout twice and scoring two runs in another game. Hard to turn your back on the Astros right now. Make the play on Houston.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Houston Astros
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
6
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